Autopsy report

Terra

LUNA / UST | L1 / Stablecoin
Depeg spiralDied May 2022

UST, an algorithmic stablecoin, lost its dollar peg. LUNA's mint-and-burn mechanism ran in reverse, its supply ballooned from hundreds of millions to trillions of tokens, and roughly $40B of market value collapsed within days.

After the fall: Terra 2.0 and Luna Classic still trade at a small fraction of the peak.

Missed warning signs
  1. 1-1y
  2. 2-1y
  3. 3-3mo
  4. XDeath

Spacing is ordinal, not to scale. Numbers match the list below.

  1. 1

    Anchor paid ~20% yield that borrower demand could not fund, so its reserve needed repeated top-ups.

    Visible 1 year before death | Yield with no source

    The BlockThe Defiant

  2. 2

    UST's peg depended on LUNA's market cap absorbing redemptions, not on outside reserves.

    Visible 1 year before death | Backed by its own token

    MIT Sloan (CFI)

  3. 3

    Leadership dismissed skeptics publicly instead of answering questions about the mechanism.

    Visible 3 months before death | Dismisses scrutiny

    Business Insider

The lesson

If the yield has no counterparty, you are the yield.

Sources
Similar graves

Editorial summary of public reporting. Allegations are labeled as allegations. Not financial or legal advice.

Don't read the next obituary from inside it.

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